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Chart comparing Polymarket and CME probabilities of a December 2025 25 bps rate cut, highlighting the Nov 12 government reopening pivot.

Rate-Cut Momentum Stalls After US Government Reopens

CME and Polymarket tracked closely through the first ten days of November, with stable expectations for a 25 bps December cut. Once the shutdown ended on Nov 12, both markets began a multi-day decline that brought probab…


A bearish market illustration with a black bear silhouette and a red downward trend arrow.

Crypto Market Breaks Into Extreme Fear as Bitcoin Loses the $100,000 Level Again

Crypto sentiment has collapsed to its lowest level in nine months as Bitcoin slips under $100,000.

Sydney Sweeney et al. on a purple/blue background.

Who Will Be Google’s #1 Actor of 2025? Here's how we know...

Learn how Google’s trend spikes, yearly momentum, and search patterns can be turned into smarter Polymarket bets.

Illustration of Messi and Ronaldo

How Prediction Markets Are Taking Over Sports Betting, Bookmakers are Finished

Prediction markets beat bookies with better odds, no fees, real trading, and full control. The future of sports betting is on-chain.

Image of 4 compas on a purple background

Inside the Grey Zone: How Prediction Markets Are Navigating Regulation

Prediction markets are booming, but shaky data and unclear rules keep them in a grey zone. Their future hinges on credibility.

Portrait of Shayne Coplan. Illustration: PredictFolio

What is Polymarket? Is it Legit and Can I Trust it?

Polymarket is a decentralized peer to peer prediction market where users can predict real world events, but is it safe to use?

Euro bills on a yellow background

Europe’s War on Cash: Security Measure or the End of Financial Privacy?

Europe’s new anti-money-laundering laws risk ending financial privacy in the name of safety and I am not sure how to feel about it.

A robot looking at a Polymarket interface

Automated trading bots are making fortunes on Polymarket

Since Polymarket launched 15m, 1h, and 4h crypto markets, bots have traded millions in volume. Who leads the pack, and how do they win?