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Arbguy Polymarket trader avatar

Arbguy

View Arbguy on Polymarket

Arbguy PnL on Polymarket

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Monthly PnL

October 2026

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Trading Volume
$63,510,010
Portfolio Size
$188,335
Markets Traded
1,011

Performance

1D
+$9.5K
1W
-$5.6K
1M
+$14.6K
YTD
+$526.7K
1Y
+$330.3K
MAX
+$409.5K
Arbguy
Profile score
—
WINS
460
LOSSES
601
Genre mix
Address
0x53…6177
Sign Up Date
Jul 3, 2024

Polymarket trader Arbguy

About Arbguy

Arbguy is a Polymarket trader with +$409.5K in net PnL since Jul 2024, $63.5M traded across 1,011 markets and a $188.3K portfolio.

460 markets closed as wins and 601 as losses, a 43% win rate.

Over the last 30 days Arbguy made +$14.6K. Year to date: +$526.7K. Last 12 months: +$330.3K.

Ranked #488 of 1,923,517 on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Largest open positions: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?, Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? and Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?.

Figures computed from on-chain data as of Oct 24, 2026.

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Positions and activity

~10 min
Entry / CurrentAnalyze
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes155,444.6 shares
-$12,670.17
(24H: +$0.00)
22.6¢18.0¢
$27,980.03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes73,696.3 shares
-$5,567.53
(24H: +$0.00)
44.6¢37.0¢
$27,267.63
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes1,616,696.8 shares
+$11,892.38
(24H: +$0.00)
0.7¢1.4¢
$22,633.75
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes57,485.7 shares
-$7,756.19
(24H: +$0.00)
48.2¢34.0¢
$19,545.13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes19,565.1 shares
-$745.63
(24H: +$0.00)
83.0¢92.0¢
$17,999.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes155,444.6 shares
-$12,670.17
(24H: +$0.00)
$27,980.0322.6¢18.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes73,696.3 shares
-$5,567.53
(24H: +$0.00)
$27,267.6344.6¢37.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes1,616,696.8 shares
+$11,892.38
(24H: +$0.00)
$22,633.750.7¢1.4¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes57,485.7 shares
-$7,756.19
(24H: +$0.00)
$19,545.1348.2¢34.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes19,565.1 shares
-$745.63
(24H: +$0.00)
$17,999.8783.0¢92.0¢